Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Change a

Futures · Started Sep 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
27.7%
Max Drawdown
21.2%
Trades
345
Win Trades
50.4%
Profit Factor
2
Win Months
11.9%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20193.011.64.1-3.515.3
202011.7-0.47.68.811.1-2.61.75.8-10.3-4.19.70.043.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/9/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$40,500
Age85 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades345
# Profitable174
% Profitable50.4%
Avg trade duration13.0 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown21.2%
drawdown periodApril 12, 2020 - April 21, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)27.7%
Avg win$380
Avg loss$198

Ratios

W:L ratio1.96
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Sortino Ratio1.30
Calmar Ratio2.00

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life156.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)15.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)27.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated94.8%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)519
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$198
Avg Win$380
# Winners174
Sum Trade PL (losers)$33,773
Sum Trade PL (winners)$66,187
Num Months Winners10
# Losers171
% Winners50.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table85

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)779.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)13
Avg Trade Length0.50
Last Trade Ago2120

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.50
Daily leverage (max)13.70

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0
Treynor Index-4.91

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades7.92
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1.11
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.69
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.39
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.32
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.50
df21
t2.11
p0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.02
Sortino ratio5.77
Upside Potential Ratio7.02
Upside part of mean0.38
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms12
N of observations22
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.00
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error20
t(b)-0.46
p(b)0.55
t(a)2.11
p(a)0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.34
Mean0.29
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.48
df21
t2.08
p0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.99
Sortino ratio5.20
Upside Potential Ratio6.44
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms12
N of observations22
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.01
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error20
t(b)-0.53
p(b)0.56
t(a)2.11
p(a)0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.29
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.14
df497
t2.95
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.56
Sortino ratio4.71
Upside Potential Ratio10.06
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms152
N negative terms346
N of observations498
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error496
t(b)-0.77
p(b)0.78
t(a)2.98
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)-16.46
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
Mean0.28
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.10
df497
t2.90
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.53
Sortino ratio4.52
Upside Potential Ratio9.85
Upside part of mean0.61
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms152
N negative terms346
N of observations498
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error496
t(b)-0.78
p(b)0.78
t(a)2.93
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)-16.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6819155546210304
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.51884084435001e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations22
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations498
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low77
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high85
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.44
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-327486496
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)9
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.38
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.44
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.44
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.36
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.63
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.73
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal22.88
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 306 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
KC Z0long1Sep 11, 2020Nov 19, 2020($3,739)
SB H1long2Sep 9, 2020Sep 9, 2020($486)
NKD U0short1Sep 3, 2020Sep 4, 2020$667
S X0long2Aug 18, 2020Aug 28, 2020$3,167
LF U0long1Aug 17, 2020Aug 18, 2020$71
QCL U0long1Aug 4, 2020Aug 5, 2020$832
QCL U0long2Jul 27, 2020Jul 27, 2020($276)
QCL U0long2Jul 26, 2020Jul 27, 2020$4
QCL U0long2Jul 24, 2020Jul 24, 2020($256)
BD U0long2Jul 24, 2020Jul 24, 2020($701)
DXM U0short1Jul 22, 2020Jul 22, 2020($20)
QPL V0long1Jul 15, 2020Jul 15, 2020($123)
QPL V0long1Jul 14, 2020Jul 14, 2020($33)
QPL V0long1Jul 12, 2020Jul 13, 2020$697
QPL V0long1Jul 8, 2020Jul 8, 2020($111)
JY U0long1Jul 8, 2020Jul 8, 2020$17
DXM U0long1Jul 3, 2020Jul 5, 2020$764
DXM U0long2Jul 2, 2020Jul 2, 2020$1,824
MYM U0long8Jul 1, 2020Jul 1, 2020($538)
CD U0short1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020($83)
JY U0short1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020$5
DXM U0long2Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020$135
DXM U0long1Jun 29, 2020Jun 29, 2020$9
SB V0long5Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$128
CC N0long1Jun 1, 2020Jun 22, 2020($1,768)
LF M0long1May 26, 2020May 27, 2020$991
BD M0short1May 19, 2020May 20, 2020$518
BD M0short2May 18, 2020May 19, 2020$2,151
QPL N0long2May 15, 2020May 15, 2020($16)
QRB M0long2May 14, 2020May 14, 2020$1,471

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.