Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Cycles

Equity · Forex · Started Dec 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
2.2%
Max Drawdown
11.6%
Trades
19
Win Trades
57.9%
Profit Factor
1.90
Win Months
2.5%

About this strategy

12H-Daily
All Manual trades
Target ROI: 5-6% Bi-monthly | 10-12% Quarterly
No estimated DD
Average # of trades is 4-7 in any given month
NO martingale
1%-2%risk on all positions
NO news based trades
All positions monitored until close
No positions taken after 9AM Friday EST
Positions may be held over weekend

These are goals only. No performance can be guaranteed and actual real-world results may be vastly different.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201916.216.2
2020-8.28.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.7
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/4/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age82 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades19
# Profitable11
% Profitable57.9%
Avg trade duration8.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown11.6%
drawdown periodDec 31, 2019 - Jan 23, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)2.2%
Avg win$1,541
Avg loss$1,105

Ratios

W:L ratio1.92
Sharpe Ratio0.06
Sortino Ratio0.10
Calmar Ratio1.29

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life148.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-131.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)2.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)2.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,105
Avg Win$1,541
# Winners11
Sum Trade PL (losers)$8,838
Sum Trade PL (winners)$16,947
Num Months Winners2
# Losers8
% Winners57.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table81

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)12485.30
Avg Position Time (hrs)208.09
Avg Trade Length8.70
Last Trade Ago2388

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)10.88
Daily leverage (max)18.15

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index0.33

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.00
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.02
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.38
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.11
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.50

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.08
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.74
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df17
t0.90
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.35
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio10.52
Upside Potential Ratio13.68
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms15
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.00
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error16
t(b)-0.32
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.93
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.07
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df17
t0.90
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.34
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.92
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio9.83
Upside Potential Ratio12.99
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms15
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.49
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.00
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error16
t(b)-0.30
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.92
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.07
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df410
t1.01
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.76
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.37
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio4.25
Upside part of mean0.23
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms28
N negative terms383
N of observations411
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error409
t(b)-0.01
p(b)0.51
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)-384.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
Mean0.07
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.76
df410
t0.95
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio1.25
Upside Potential Ratio4.14
Upside part of mean0.23
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms28
N negative terms383
N of observations411
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error409
t(b)0.01
p(b)0.49
t(a)0.95
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)390.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.28
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.22
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6715431012270080
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.7710531143597e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations411
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high28
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.53
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-487361696
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)23
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.11
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.05
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.29
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.29
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.10
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 9 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/CHF long480Jan 23, 2020Feb 11, 2020$4,824
EUR/USD short100Jan 20, 2020Feb 11, 2020$1,807
AUD/NZD short420Jan 20, 2020Feb 11, 2020($2,371)
AUD/USD short130Jan 20, 2020Feb 11, 2020$1,958
AUD/CAD short260Jan 20, 2020Jan 23, 2020($1,474)
NZD/USD short140Jan 7, 2020Jan 16, 2020$11
AUD/JPY short70Jan 7, 2020Jan 10, 2020($530)
GBP/JPY short70Jan 6, 2020Jan 10, 2020($794)
NZD/JPY short120Jan 6, 2020Jan 10, 2020($575)
AUD/USD long190Dec 17, 2019Jan 2, 2020$2,370
AUD/JPY long90Dec 17, 2019Jan 2, 2020$402
EUR/CHF short220Dec 17, 2019Dec 27, 2019$1,358
AUD/NZD short190Dec 18, 2019Dec 19, 2019($483)
EUR/USD long250Dec 12, 2019Dec 13, 2019$1,348
CAD/JPY long200Dec 11, 2019Dec 13, 2019$1,151
AUD/JPY long160Dec 11, 2019Dec 13, 2019$1,195
USD/JPY short320Dec 6, 2019Dec 12, 2019($932)
EUR/CHF short180Dec 6, 2019Dec 11, 2019$496
AUD/JPY short150Dec 9, 2019Dec 11, 2019($81)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.