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Selling Weeklies

Options · Options · Started Dec 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
231
Win Trades
45.0%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
24.1%

Premium Collecting

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201931.231.2
202036.790.8-96.9113.7-6.168.9-6.816.939.232.5-0.8852.3428.2
2021137.8-22.5-33.3-1.929.3-6.6-23.36.4-2.3-22.42.7-25.3-30.9
2022-23.133.714.3-3.6-15.8-19.5-6.8-3.7-11.014.1-15.8-11.4-47.8
20238.314.581.4-32.70.4-0.8-14.4-1.6-3.70.00.00.022.3
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-102.40.0-102.4
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/12/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age83 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades231
# Profitable104
% Profitable45.0%
Avg trade duration29.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodMay 01, 2020 - Nov 04, 2024
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$3,423
Avg loss$2,858

Ratios

W:L ratio0.98
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Sortino Ratio1.46
Calmar Ratio-0.62

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.06
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life141.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-254.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-16.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity—
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,858
Avg Win$3,423
# Winners104
Sum Trade PL (losers)$363,011
Sum Trade PL (winners)$355,957
Num Months Winners20
# Losers127
% Winners45.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table60

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)42356.67
Avg Position Time (hrs)705.94
Avg Trade Length29.40
Last Trade Ago2392

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)49.20
Daily leverage (max)427.38

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.81
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.11
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.16
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.17
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-10.87
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.29
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.92
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean5.19
SD6.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df14
t0.91
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.55
Sortino ratio4.27
Upside Potential Ratio6.08
Upside part of mean7.38
Downside part of mean-2.19
Upside SD6.22
Downside SD1.21
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms8
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.68
Mean of criterion5.19
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion6.38
Covariance0.53
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.36
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.90
Mean Square Error41.84
DF error13
t(b)0.77
p(b)0.37
t(a)0.45
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-11.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha16.94
Treynor index (mean / b)1.54
Jensen alpha (a)2.90
Mean-1.00
SD3.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.28
df14
t-0.33
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.48
Sortino ratio-0.38
Upside Potential Ratio1.20
Upside part of mean3.20
Downside part of mean-4.20
Upside SD1.99
Downside SD2.66
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms8
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-1.00
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion3.42
Covariance0.37
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.26
Mean Square Error11.76
DF error13
t(b)0.98
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.68
p(a)0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.93
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.46
Jensen alpha (a)-2.26
VaR(95%)0.82
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.87
VaR(95%)0.44
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.82
Mean4.83
SD4.49
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df336
t1.22
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.80
Sortino ratio3.23
Upside Potential Ratio9.06
Upside part of mean13.56
Downside part of mean-8.73
Upside SD4.24
Downside SD1.50
N nonnegative terms137
N negative terms200
N of observations337
Mean of predictor0.77
Mean of criterion4.83
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion4.49
Covariance0.20
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4.03
Mean Square Error20.05
DF error335
t(b)1.85
p(b)0.03
t(a)1.01
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha11.84
Treynor index (mean / b)4.62
Jensen alpha (a)4.03
Mean-0.97
SD3.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.28
df336
t-0.31
p0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.45
Sortino ratio-0.35
Upside Potential Ratio3.62
Upside part of mean10.19
Downside part of mean-11.17
Upside SD2.10
Downside SD2.82
N nonnegative terms137
N negative terms200
N of observations337
Mean of predictor0.67
Mean of criterion-0.97
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion3.52
Covariance0.25
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.88
Mean Square Error12.08
DF error335
t(b)3.07
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.61
p(a)0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.73
Jensen alpha (a)-1.88
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.36
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
Mean-1.51
SD2.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.67
df130
t-0.48
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio-0.94
Upside Potential Ratio4.38
Upside part of mean7.04
Downside part of mean-8.55
Upside SD1.53
Downside SD1.61
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms104
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion-1.51
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion2.22
Covariance0.22
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.58
Mean Square Error4.77
DF error129
t(b)2.42
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.83
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.59
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.53
Jensen alpha (a)-2.58
Mean-6.00
SD3.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.56
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.56
df130
t-1.11
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.22
Sortino ratio-1.65
Upside Potential Ratio1.70
Upside part of mean6.15
Downside part of mean-12.15
Upside SD1.25
Downside SD3.63
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms104
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.98
Mean of criterion-6.00
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion3.83
Covariance0.27
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-7.22
Mean Square Error14.47
DF error129
t(b)1.76
p(b)0.40
t(a)-1.33
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.16
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-17.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.51
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.78
Jensen alpha (a)-7.22
VaR(95%)0.34
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.40
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.80
Median1
Quartile 31.39
Maximum7.88
Mean of quarter 10.38
Mean of quarter 20.94
Mean of quarter 31.25
Mean of quarter 43.13
Inter Quartile Range0.58
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high7.88
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-25.92
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.49
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.49
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.04
Number of observations337
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.97
Median1
Quartile 31.03
Maximum5.26
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low28
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.76
Number of outliers high36
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.39
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.22
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations131
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.97
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.77
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low23
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.84
Number of outliers high18
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.13

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.80
Quartile 10.84
Median0.88
Quartile 30.92
Maximum0.97
Mean of quarter 10.80
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.97
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.07
Quartile 30.32
Maximum0.99
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.15
Mean of quarter 40.68
Inter Quartile Range0.30
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.95
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.76
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.80
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.61
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.95
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.98
Number of observations2
Minimum0.34
Quartile 10.50
Median0.65
Quartile 30.81
Maximum0.96
Mean of quarter 10.34
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.96
Inter Quartile Range0.31
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-476411520
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1648
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.56
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.62
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.64
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.71
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.55
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.61
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.62
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.89
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.69
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.90
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.03
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.51

Trading record

Placed 145 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
KNWN long2000Mar 20, 2020Mar 24, 2020($285)
AXP2020C120 long20Mar 2, 2020Mar 21, 2020($1,514)
VXX2020O17.5 long25Mar 4, 2020Mar 21, 2020($318)
SPY2020C310 short20Mar 10, 2020Mar 16, 2020$992
TWTR2020C34 long20Mar 2, 2020Mar 16, 2020($4,988)
SPY2001D315 long30Mar 10, 2020Mar 16, 2020($1,542)
DIS2017D115 long8Mar 6, 2020Mar 16, 2020($2,835)
CSCO2017D40 long20Mar 6, 2020Mar 16, 2020($1,448)
CVS2017D67.5 long15Mar 6, 2020Mar 16, 2020($3,156)
JPM2017D90 long2Mar 2, 2020Mar 16, 2020($4,143)
ORCL2017D50 long18Mar 6, 2020Mar 16, 2020($1,663)
DIS2013C115 short8Mar 6, 2020Mar 14, 2020$2,250
TWTR2013C32.5 short20Mar 2, 2020Mar 14, 2020$6,766
CSCO2013C40 short20Mar 6, 2020Mar 14, 2020$1,126
CVS2013C67.5 short15Mar 6, 2020Mar 14, 2020$905
ORCL2013C50 short18Mar 6, 2020Mar 14, 2020$887
VXX2020C20 long25Mar 4, 2020Mar 13, 2020$47,915
VXX2013C17.5 short25Mar 4, 2020Mar 13, 2020($54,885)
AXP2020O115 long20Mar 2, 2020Mar 13, 2020$32,472
AXP2013O120 short20Mar 2, 2020Mar 13, 2020($43,628)
XLU2020O67.5 long25Mar 3, 2020Mar 13, 2020$24,065
XLU2013O69 short25Mar 3, 2020Mar 13, 2020($28,660)
JPM2006C120 short2Mar 2, 2020Mar 7, 2020$379
PFE2006C35 long20Feb 18, 2020Feb 27, 2020($1,508)
PFE2028B32.5 short20Feb 18, 2020Feb 27, 2020$2,192
GOLD2006O20 long25Feb 14, 2020Feb 27, 2020($1,087)
GOLD2006C22 long25Feb 14, 2020Feb 27, 2020$165
GOLD2028N22.5 short25Feb 14, 2020Feb 27, 2020$2,165
CMCSA2006O42 long25Feb 14, 2020Feb 27, 2020$2,667
CTSH long1200Feb 22, 2020Feb 24, 2020($1,241)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.