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UnicornIndex

Equity · Stocks · Started Jun 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
40.5%
Max Drawdown
77.8%
Trades
4929
Win Trades
78.4%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
62.7%
Subscribe Full access for $139/month

About this strategy

Actual intrinsic value trading.
Limited to 50 users.

Event-driven Sector: Technology

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20200.35.47.90.5-5.727.5-6.928.3
202137.310.81.810.92.743.85.0-0.40.46.6-11.210.8179.1
20229.5-3.17.4-34.0-8.1-32.728.9-5.5-15.26.6-14.2-17.6-63.7
202365.310.617.2-13.621.16.010.7-10.6-6.0-13.631.023.8209.7
2024-5.97.45.8-5.616.23.43.50.92.8-2.56.9-4.529.7
202522.2-12.2-9.3-4.122.213.00.29.51.83.1-1.7-7.235.5
2026-7.3-0.7-16.026.91.92.110.13.916.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/16/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$420,000
Age75 months
C2 Rank979
Rank at C2 %Top 2.1%
Rank ##14
What it tradesStocks
# Trades4929
# Profitable3865
% Profitable78.4%
Avg trade duration7.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown77.8%
drawdown periodMarch 29, 2022 - June 03, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)40.5%
Avg win$241
Avg loss$513

Ratios

W:L ratio1.81
Sharpe Ratio0.74
Sortino Ratio1.14
Calmar Ratio0.64

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.50
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life145.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)580.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)40.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)42.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity11.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.1%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.4%
Percent Trades Stocks0.9%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss87.0%
Chance of 20% account loss73.5%
Chance of 30% account loss63.0%
Chance of 40% account loss50.5%
Chance of 50% account loss37.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)22.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)15.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)8.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated6.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)638
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)936
C2 Score979
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)854

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$504
Avg Win$241
# Winners3865
Sum Trade PL (losers)$535,708
Sum Trade PL (winners)$932,431
Num Months Winners47
# Losers1063
% Winners78.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct27912

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table75

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)10065.42
Avg Position Time (hrs)167.76
Avg Trade Length7
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.25
Daily leverage (max)10.20

Regression

Alpha0.07
Beta1.51
Treynor Index0.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades12.13
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.50
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.23
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.69
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.09

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.47
SD0.51
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df72
t2.26
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.71
Sortino ratio1.81
Upside Potential Ratio3.38
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.40
Upside SD0.46
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms25
N of observations73
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.47
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.51
Covariance0.03
r0.53
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error71
t(b)5.29
p(b)0
t(a)1.06
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.34
SD0.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df72
t1.75
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.51
Sortino ratio1.18
Upside Potential Ratio2.69
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.44
Upside SD0.39
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms25
N of observations73
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.48
Covariance0.04
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error71
t(b)5.98
p(b)0
t(a)0.49
p(a)0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.18
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean0.43
SD0.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.95
df1599
t2.35
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.74
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.74
Sortino ratio1.47
Upside Potential Ratio8.81
Upside part of mean2.59
Downside part of mean-2.15
Upside SD0.35
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms864
N negative terms736
N of observations1600
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.43
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.46
Covariance0.04
r0.50
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.25
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error1598
t(b)23.28
p(b)0.25
t(a)1.57
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.25
Mean0.33
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.73
df1599
t1.80
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio1.08
Upside Potential Ratio8.28
Upside part of mean2.53
Downside part of mean-2.20
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms864
N negative terms736
N of observations1600
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.33
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.04
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error1598
t(b)23.78
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.47
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.53
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.33
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.33
df130
t0.94
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.10
Sortino ratio2.00
Upside Potential Ratio9.73
Upside part of mean2.58
Downside part of mean-2.05
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.03
r0.54
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error129
t(b)7.32
p(b)0.17
t(a)0.47
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.23
Mean0.45
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.13
df130
t0.80
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.91
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.90
Sortino ratio1.66
Upside Potential Ratio9.29
Upside part of mean2.54
Downside part of mean-2.08
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.03
r0.54
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error129
t(b)7.28
p(b)0.17
t(a)0.34
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations73
Minimum0.67
Quartile 10.97
Median1.04
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.49
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.22
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.74
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.41
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations1600
Minimum0.80
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low47
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high50
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.65
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.38
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high0.65
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.42
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.48
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.68
Expected Shortfall (regression method)4.91
Number of observations86
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.67
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.24
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.30
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.33
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.27
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-444009408
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)66
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.40
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.45
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.69
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.19
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.98
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.43
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.85
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.54
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.62
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.04
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.76
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.87

Trading record

Placed 12788 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
HOOD long450Aug 15, 2026Aug 19, 2026$435
ACN long50Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026$39
MRNA long10Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026$117
CBRS2621T220 short1Aug 17, 2026Aug 17, 2026$238
CBRS long143Aug 13, 2026Aug 17, 2026$1,945
CBRS2621T230 short1Aug 17, 2026Aug 17, 2026$378
HOOD2614T97 short2Aug 13, 2026Aug 15, 2026$157
LRCX2614T335 short1Aug 13, 2026Aug 15, 2026$414
GOOG2614T350 short1Aug 11, 2026Aug 15, 2026$374
CBRS2614T225 short1Aug 13, 2026Aug 15, 2026$469
VOO2614T707.5 short1Aug 11, 2026Aug 15, 2026$169
TXN2614T282.5 short1Aug 11, 2026Aug 15, 2026$359
QCOM2614T160 short1Aug 10, 2026Aug 13, 2026$128
SMCI long224Aug 12, 2026Aug 13, 2026$306
QQQ long53Aug 11, 2026Aug 12, 2026$45
STX long6Aug 11, 2026Aug 12, 2026$207
STX2614T820 short1Aug 11, 2026Aug 12, 2026$1,398
SMCI long200Aug 12, 2026Aug 12, 2026$156

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.