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LoF FTSE TECH ENTRY

Futures · Futures · Started Feb 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
47.2%
Max Drawdown
36.0%
Trades
77
Win Trades
85.7%
Profit Factor
4.80
Win Months
87.1%
Subscribe Full access for $150/month

About this strategy

Description from the strategy designer:

This strategy has been designed to follow the FTSE, although by hoping to miss out on a few of the drops throughout the year, it aims to beat its benchmark index.

If the strategy can liquidate a long FTSE position after a good run, then it will look to get back in at a lower level, therefore creating an index-beating performance.

If the strategy has no position, then the capital is held in cash, waiting. There is no point being in a market that appears overbought, and being flat can often be a great trade.

Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20241.94.20.42.00.65.31.01.60.17.4-1.025.9
20256.13.18.4-4.48.70.05.61.14.00.63.32.245.5
20262.88.0-2.87.59.52.89.82.246.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/8/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$60,000
Age31 months
C2 Rank991
Rank at C2 %Top 0.9%
Rank ##6
What it tradesFutures
# Trades77
# Profitable66
% Profitable85.7%
Avg trade duration5.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown36.0%
drawdown periodApril 01, 2025 - April 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)47.2%
Avg win$757
Avg loss$949

Ratios

W:L ratio4.79
Sharpe Ratio1.48
Sortino Ratio2.19
Calmar Ratio1.68

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.20
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life53.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)115.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)47.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)51.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss29.0%
Chance of 20% account loss11.0%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)881
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)977
C2 Score991
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)938

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$949
Avg Win$757
# Winners66
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,439
Sum Trade PL (winners)$49,982
Num Months Winners28
# Losers11
% Winners85.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table31

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)7497.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)124.96
Avg Trade Length5.20
Last Trade Ago5

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.91
Daily leverage (max)4.38

Regression

Alpha0.10
Beta0.29
Treynor Index0.37

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.10
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.76
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.72
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats77.79
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats40.27
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.86
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.33
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.57

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.41
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.20
df29
t3.58
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.57
Sortino ratio4.88
Upside Potential Ratio5.94
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms4
N of observations30
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.55
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.80
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error28
t(b)3.50
p(b)0.00
t(a)2.78
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
Mean0.39
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.13
df29
t3.46
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.78
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.49
Sortino ratio4.41
Upside Potential Ratio5.47
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms4
N of observations30
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.54
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.77
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error28
t(b)3.44
p(b)0.00
t(a)2.73
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.42
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.88
df659
t2.99
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.12
Sortino ratio2.62
Upside Potential Ratio6.50
Upside part of mean1.03
Downside part of mean-0.62
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms254
N negative terms406
N of observations660
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.42
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error658
t(b)5.26
p(b)0
t(a)2.72
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)1.46
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
Mean0.39
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.74
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.74
df659
t2.76
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.98
Sortino ratio2.34
Upside Potential Ratio6.10
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.63
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms254
N negative terms406
N of observations660
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error658
t(b)5.46
p(b)0
t(a)2.51
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)1.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.54
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.42
df130
t1.72
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.20
Sortino ratio3.88
Upside Potential Ratio8.37
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-0.63
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms40
N negative terms91
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.45
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)3.39
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.48
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.05
Treynor index (mean / b)1.19
Jensen alpha (a)0.45
Mean0.52
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.30
df130
t1.64
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.09
Sortino ratio3.62
Upside Potential Ratio8.07
Upside part of mean1.15
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms40
N negative terms91
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)3.34
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.42
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)1.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations30
Minimum0.90
Quartile 11.02
Median1.03
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.72
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations660
Minimum0.84
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low54
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high57
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.59
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high18
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations37
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.19
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.71
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.32
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-393422272
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.73
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.52
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.28
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.33
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.74
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.52
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.38
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.44
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.63
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.72
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.40
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal27.76

Trading record

Placed 119 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LF U6long1Aug 19, 2026Aug 21, 2026$1,231
LF U6long1Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026$994
LF U6long1Jul 9, 2026Jul 10, 2026$1,058
LF U6long1Jul 6, 2026Jul 7, 2026$791
LF U6long1Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026$2,285
LF M6long1Jun 4, 2026Jun 5, 2026$1,515
LF M6long1May 15, 2026May 18, 2026$1,812
LF M6long1May 8, 2026May 14, 2026$1,785
LF M6long1Apr 24, 2026May 6, 2026$445
XXP M6short1Apr 1, 2026Apr 8, 2026($1,235)
LF M6long1Mar 20, 2026Apr 8, 2026$7,282
LF H6long1Mar 11, 2026Mar 20, 2026($2,855)
DXS H6long1Feb 27, 2026Mar 2, 2026($715)
LF H6long1Feb 5, 2026Feb 6, 2026$905
LF H6long1Feb 3, 2026Feb 4, 2026$1,680
LF H6long1Feb 2, 2026Feb 2, 2026$904
LF H6long1Jan 23, 2026Jan 27, 2026$519
LF H6long1Jan 20, 2026Jan 21, 2026$1,548
DXS H6long1Jan 14, 2026Jan 20, 2026($832)
LF Z5long1Dec 18, 2025Dec 18, 2025$671
LF Z5long1Nov 14, 2025Dec 15, 2025$762
LF Z5long1Nov 4, 2025Nov 4, 2025$889
LF Z5long1Oct 9, 2025Oct 23, 2025$498
LF Z5long1Sep 19, 2025Sep 26, 2025$824
LF U5long1Sep 12, 2025Sep 19, 2025($605)
LF U5long1Sep 9, 2025Sep 11, 2025$1,018
LF U5long1Aug 26, 2025Sep 9, 2025($862)
LF U5long1Aug 18, 2025Aug 18, 2025$469
LF U5long0.85Aug 7, 2025Aug 12, 2025$582
LF U5long0.85Jul 31, 2025Aug 5, 2025$428

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.