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IWM Hold the Strike

Options · Started Jul 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
35.9%
Max Drawdown
13.8%
Trades
43
Win Trades
86.0%
Profit Factor
3.20
Win Months
64.3%
Subscribe Full access for $20/month

About this strategy

IWM Hold the Strike Enhanced - Continuous Premium Income Strategy

Strategy Overview:

IWM Hold the Strike is a systematic options strategy designed to maintain continuous market exposure through the disciplined selling of short-dated options on the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM). This "always invested" approach ensures capital is constantly working, either collecting put premiums while waiting to own shares or collecting call premiums during recovery periods.

Trading Methodology:

Primary Vehicle: iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) - liquid small-cap index with daily options
Strategy Type: Systematic put selling followed by covered calls using the "Hold the Strike" discipline
Expiration Target: 2-5 days to expiration (capturing maximum theta decay)
Strike Selection: At-the-money (ATM) for maximum premium collection
Recovery Formula: Calculated recovery target = Lowest price since assignment + (Proprietary Recovery Formula)

The 4-Step Process:

- SELL PUTS at or near current IWM price (2-5 DTE)
- TAKE ASSIGNMENT when IWM drops below strike (never panic sell)
- WAIT FOR RECOVERY to calculated target before selling calls
- SELL CALLS at recovery threshold to collect additional premium

Key Features:

- Always Invested Philosophy: Continuous premium collection with no idle capital
- Enhanced Recovery System: Multiple call-selling cycles during recovery periods
- Weekend Gap Protection: Ladder orders placed Friday to capture Monday opportunities
- Assignment Discipline: View assignments as opportunities, not setbacks

Suitable For:

- Traders seeking consistent income
- Investors comfortable with small-cap volatility
- Those who understand assignment is part of the strategy

Important Notes:
This strategy thrives in up and sideways market conditions. Bear markets provide exceptional income opportunities through elevated premiums but expect capital losses to be held on the IWM ETF as we await short term rallies to sell calls. The key to success is maintaining discipline during drawdowns and allowing the recovery system to work.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-0.55.07.04.2-1.1-1.713.2
20265.12.0-7.010.25.110.7-2.90.524.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/14/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age14 months
C2 Rank955
Rank at C2 %Top 4.5%
Rank ##30
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades43
# Profitable37
% Profitable86.0%
Avg trade duration10.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown13.8%
drawdown periodFeb 18, 2026 - March 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)35.9%
Avg win$271
Avg loss$547

Ratios

W:L ratio3.16
Sharpe Ratio1.41
Sortino Ratio2.15
Calmar Ratio3.67

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.64
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life22.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)18.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)35.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)40.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.8%
Short Options - Percent Covered42.4%
Percent Trades Stocks0.2%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss15.5%
Chance of 20% account loss1.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)568
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)915
C2 Score955
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)722

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$544
Avg Win$271
# Winners37
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,263
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,021
Num Months Winners9
# Losers6
% Winners86.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct181

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table14

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)15310.40
Avg Position Time (hrs)255.17
Avg Trade Length10.60
Last Trade Ago5

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.39
Daily leverage (max)2.28

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.93
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.09
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.40
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.89
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.31
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.27
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.30

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.34
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.86
df12
t2.07
p0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.88
Sortino ratio4.07
Upside Potential Ratio5.39
Upside part of mean0.45
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.79
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error11
t(b)1.82
p(b)0.05
t(a)1.25
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
Mean0.32
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.78
df12
t1.98
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.79
Sortino ratio3.72
Upside Potential Ratio5.05
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.49
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.82
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error11
t(b)1.87
p(b)0.04
t(a)1.16
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.55
Treynor index (mean / b)0.39
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.34
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.89
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.89
df284
t1.98
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.77
Sortino ratio2.91
Upside Potential Ratio10.31
Upside part of mean1.20
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms166
N negative terms119
N of observations285
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.65
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.91
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error283
t(b)14.29
p(b)0
t(a)1.42
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.32
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.80
df284
t1.88
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.69
Sortino ratio2.74
Upside Potential Ratio10.13
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-0.87
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms166
N negative terms119
N of observations285
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.65
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.91
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error283
t(b)14.35
p(b)0
t(a)1.35
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.29
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.60
df130
t1.14
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.38
Sortino ratio2.36
Upside Potential Ratio9.51
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-0.88
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.02
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)10.07
p(b)0.11
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.51
Treynor index (mean / b)0.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
Mean0.27
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.51
df130
t1.07
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.29
Sortino ratio2.20
Upside Potential Ratio9.33
Upside part of mean1.16
Downside part of mean-0.89
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.02
r0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)10.13
p(b)0.11
t(a)0.61
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1.05
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations285
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.06
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations22
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.29
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.53
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)7.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-410209440
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)40
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.42
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.77
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.77
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.87
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.42
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.70
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.16
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.64
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.26

Trading record

Placed 2 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
IWM2620T303 short1Aug 14, 2026Aug 21, 2026$176
IWM2606H293 short1Aug 3, 2026Aug 7, 2026$194
IWM long100Jul 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($602)
IWM2606S299 short1Jun 30, 2026Jul 7, 2026$302
IWM2629R298 short1Jun 23, 2026Jun 30, 2026$664
IWM2622F297 short1Jun 15, 2026Jun 23, 2026$384
IWM long100Jun 6, 2026Jun 23, 2026$498
IWM2605R292 short1May 29, 2026Jun 6, 2026$399
IWM2626Q277 short1May 18, 2026May 27, 2026$342
IWM2614Q283 short1May 8, 2026May 15, 2026$299
IWM2607E280 short1May 4, 2026May 8, 2026$199
IWM long100Apr 29, 2026May 8, 2026$398
IWM2628P276 short1Apr 23, 2026Apr 29, 2026$274
IWM2622P270 short1Apr 16, 2026Apr 23, 2026$335
IWM2614D255 short1Apr 7, 2026Apr 15, 2026$275
IWM long100Jan 28, 2026Apr 15, 2026($1,202)
IWM2604C268 short1Feb 26, 2026Mar 5, 2026$141
IWM2612B267 short1Feb 9, 2026Feb 13, 2026$174
IWM2627M267 short1Jan 23, 2026Jan 28, 2026$189
IWM2620M261 short1Jan 13, 2026Jan 21, 2026$209
IWM2612A257 short1Jan 6, 2026Jan 13, 2026$174
IWM long100Dec 19, 2025Jan 13, 2026$298
IWM2518X254 short1Dec 15, 2025Dec 19, 2025$291
IWM2511X251 short1Dec 8, 2025Dec 12, 2025$259
IWM2502L241 short1Nov 25, 2025Dec 3, 2025$265
IWM long100Oct 14, 2025Dec 3, 2025($602)
IWM2517K247 short1Nov 11, 2025Nov 18, 2025$113
IWM2530J250 short1Oct 27, 2025Oct 31, 2025$325
IWM2513V247 short1Oct 9, 2025Oct 14, 2025$210
IWM2507J243 short1Oct 2, 2025Oct 8, 2025$202

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.