Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Retired3

Futures · Started Sep 2015

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.4%
Max Drawdown
11.2%
Trades
35
Win Trades
48.6%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
3.0%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2015-0.011.5-2.42.111.2
2016-4.46.0-4.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.00.00.0-3.6
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.084.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.084.4
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/25/2015
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age134 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades35
# Profitable17
% Profitable48.6%
Avg trade duration2.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown11.2%
drawdown periodOct 07, 2015 - Jan 13, 2016
Annual Return (Compounded)6.4%
Avg win$3,694
Avg loss$2,046

Ratios

W:L ratio1.71
Sharpe Ratio0.21
Sortino Ratio2.84
Calmar Ratio4.81

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life303.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-202.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,046
Avg Win$3,694
# Winners17
Sum Trade PL (losers)$36,830
Sum Trade PL (winners)$62,800
Num Months Winners5
# Losers18
% Winners48.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table134

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3210.43
Avg Position Time (hrs)53.51
Avg Trade Length2.20
Last Trade Ago3838

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.01
Treynor Index1.33

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.06
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.45
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.73
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats2.58
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats2.58
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.07
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.69

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.36
SD0.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.67
df28
t1.07
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio12.25
Upside Potential Ratio13.83
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.52
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms24
N of observations29
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0.52
Covariance0.01
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error27
t(b)0.34
p(b)0.37
t(a)0.85
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.06
Treynor index (mean / b)4.65
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
Mean0.27
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.68
df28
t1.08
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio9.00
Upside Potential Ratio10.57
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms24
N of observations29
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.01
r0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error27
t(b)0.42
p(b)0.34
t(a)0.84
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.78
Treynor index (mean / b)3.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.23
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.35
SD0.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.68
df640
t1.07
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.94
Sortino ratio9.31
Upside Potential Ratio12.89
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.51
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms49
N negative terms592
N of observations641
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.52
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.27
DF error639
t(b)0.12
p(b)0.45
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.00
Treynor index (mean / b)55.08
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
Mean0.26
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df640
t1.08
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.94
Sortino ratio6.90
Upside Potential Ratio10.46
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms49
N negative terms592
N of observations641
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error639
t(b)0.18
p(b)0.43
t(a)1.06
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.74
Treynor index (mean / b)38.79
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6808257603567616
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.83882492118289e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations29
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.80
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-232.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.44
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations641
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.80
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low98
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high107
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-486278176
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)98
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.43
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs9.66
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.84
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.81
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.25
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 35 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MCH J6short1Mar 28, 2016Mar 31, 2016($3,048)
MCH H6short1Mar 15, 2016Mar 17, 2016($1,028)
MCH H6long1Mar 13, 2016Mar 14, 2016($38)
MCH H6short1Mar 10, 2016Mar 13, 2016($2,428)
MCH H6short1Mar 7, 2016Mar 9, 2016$652
MCH H6short1Mar 3, 2016Mar 7, 2016($1,438)
MCH H6long1Mar 2, 2016Mar 3, 2016($768)
MCH H6long1Feb 28, 2016Feb 29, 2016($508)
MCH G6short1Feb 25, 2016Feb 26, 2016$212
MCH G6long4Feb 14, 2016Feb 18, 2016$16,238
MCH G6long3Jan 28, 2016Feb 3, 2016$3,506
MCH F6short1Jan 25, 2016Jan 26, 2016$1,042
MCH F6short4Jan 19, 2016Jan 24, 2016$1,848
MCH F6long4Jan 12, 2016Jan 14, 2016($7,662)
MCH F6long4Jan 6, 2016Jan 12, 2016($5,822)
MCH F6short2Jan 4, 2016Jan 6, 2016$3,894
MCH F6long17Jan 3, 2016Jan 4, 2016($5,246)
MCH Z5long6Dec 9, 2015Dec 18, 2015$5,432
MCH Z5short1Dec 8, 2015Dec 9, 2015$852
MCH Z5long1Dec 2, 2015Dec 2, 2015($548)
MCH Z5long1Dec 1, 2015Dec 2, 2015$372
MCH Z5short1Nov 30, 2015Dec 1, 2015$672
MCH Z5short2Nov 29, 2015Nov 30, 2015($3,226)
MCH Z5long1Nov 26, 2015Nov 29, 2015($2,858)
MCH X5short2Nov 24, 2015Nov 26, 2015($296)
MCH X5short1Nov 23, 2015Nov 24, 2015$162
MCH X5long3Nov 18, 2015Nov 23, 2015$1,736
MCH X5short1Nov 10, 2015Nov 10, 2015$562
MCH X5long1Nov 9, 2015Nov 10, 2015($338)
MCH X5short1Nov 8, 2015Nov 9, 2015($378)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.